{"title":"Tom Chivers","description":"\u003cp\u003eWelcome to the world of Tom Chivers, a trailblazing author whose work spans the realms of biography, memoir, science, and nature. Renowned for his ability to distil complex ideas into accessible narratives, Chivers has a unique talent for storytelling that captivates and educates readers.\u003c\/p\u003e\n\n\u003cp\u003eAmong his remarkable contributions is the insightful book \u003cem\u003eEverything Is Predictable\u003c\/em\u003e, where Chivers takes you on a journey through the fascinating world of patterns and predictions. This book unveils the intricacies of predictability in our daily lives, making it a must-read for those curious about how the world operates.\u003c\/p\u003e\n\n\u003cp\u003eIn addition, Chivers co-authored \u003cem\u003eHow to Read Numbers\u003c\/em\u003e with David Chivers, a book that delves into the art of data interpretation. It offers a compelling look at how numbers influence our perceptions and decisions, empowering readers with the knowledge to critically assess data presented in the media.\u003c\/p\u003e\n\n\u003cp\u003eTom Chivers's work is not only informative but also profoundly engaging, as he combines personal anecdotes with thorough research, making complex subjects delightfully approachable. Dive into his collection to explore the balance between data and storytelling, and emerge with a renewed understanding of the world around you.\u003c\/p\u003e","products":[{"product_id":"everything-is-predictable-by-tom-chivers-9781399604055","title":"Everything Is Predictable","description":"\u003cdiv class=\"book-description\"\u003e\n\u003cp\u003e\u003cstrong\u003eSHORTLISTED FOR THE ROYAL SOCIETY TRIVEDI SCIENCE BOOK PRIZE 2024\u003c\/strong\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e\n\n\u003cp\u003e\u003cstrong\u003e'Fascinating, witty and perspective-shifting . . . I finished it not only better informed about a captivating branch of mathematics, but with an invigorating sense of greater purchase on the world' – OLIVER BURKEMAN\u003c\/strong\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e\n\n\u003cp\u003eThomas Bayes was an eighteenth-century Presbyterian minister and amateur mathematician whose obscure life belied the profound impact of his work. Fusing biography, razor-sharp science communication and intellectual history, \u003cem\u003eEverything Is Predictable\u003c\/em\u003e is a captivating tour of Bayes' theorem and its impact on modern life. From medical testing to artificial intelligence, Tom Chivers shows how a single compelling idea can have far-reaching consequences.\u003c\/p\u003e\n\u003c\/div\u003e","brand":"Hachette New Zealand Ltd","offers":[{"title":"Default Title","offer_id":46438202147052,"sku":"9781399604055","price":29.99,"currency_code":"NZD","in_stock":true}],"thumbnail_url":"\/\/cdn.shopify.com\/s\/files\/1\/0705\/7784\/8556\/files\/8408613482686.jpg?v=1747189221"},{"product_id":"everything-is-predictable-by-tom-chivers-9781399604048","title":"Everything Is Predictable","description":"\u003cdiv class=\"book-description\"\u003e\n\u003cp\u003e\u003cstrong\u003eSHORTLISTED FOR THE ROYAL SOCIETY TRIVEDI SCIENCE BOOK PRIZE 2024\u003c\/strong\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e\n\n\u003cp\u003e\u003cem\u003e'Fascinating, witty and perspective-shifting' - Oliver Burkeman\u003c\/em\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e\n\n\u003cp\u003e\u003cem\u003e'A remarkable book about a remarkable theorem' - Will Storr\u003c\/em\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e\n\n\u003cp\u003e\u003cem\u003e'Witty, lively and best of all, extremely nerdy. I learned a lot and so will you' - Tim Harford\u003c\/em\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e\n\n\u003cp\u003eThomas Bayes was an eighteenth-century Presbyterian minister and amateur mathematician whose obscure life belied the profound impact of his work. Like most research into probability at the time, his theorem was mainly seen as relevant to games of chance, like dice and cards. But its implications soon became clear.\u003c\/p\u003e\n\n\u003cp\u003eBayes' theorem helps explain why highly accurate screening tests can lead to false positives, causing unnecessary anxiety for patients. A failure to account for it in court has put innocent people in jail. But its influence goes far beyond practical applications. A cornerstone of rational thought, Bayesian principles are used in modelling and forecasting. 'Superforecasters', a group of expert predictors who outperform CIA analysts, use a Bayesian approach. Many argue that Bayes' theorem is not just a useful tool, but a description of almost everything - that it is the underlying architecture of rationality and of the human brain.\u003c\/p\u003e\n\n\u003cp\u003eFusing biography, razor-sharp science communication and intellectual history, \u003cem\u003eEverything Is Predictable\u003c\/em\u003e is a captivating tour of Bayes' theorem and its impact on modern life. From medical testing to artificial intelligence, Tom Chivers shows how a single compelling idea can have far-reaching consequences.\u003c\/p\u003e\n\u003c\/div\u003e","brand":"Hachette Aotearoa New Zealand","offers":[{"title":"Default Title","offer_id":46832871538924,"sku":"9781399604048","price":39.99,"currency_code":"NZD","in_stock":false}],"thumbnail_url":"\/\/cdn.shopify.com\/s\/files\/1\/0705\/7784\/8556\/files\/8408543482686.jpg?v=1758418039"},{"product_id":"how-to-read-numbers-by-tom-chivers-9781474619974","title":"How to Read Numbers","description":"\u003cdiv class=\"book-description\"\u003e\n\u003cp\u003eEvery day, most of us will read or watch something in the news that is based on statistics in some way. Sometimes it'll be obvious — 'X people develop cancer every year' — and sometimes less obvious — 'How smartphones destroyed a generation'. Statistics are an immensely powerful tool for understanding the world, but in the wrong hands they can be dangerous.\u003c\/p\u003e\n\n\u003cp\u003e\u003cem\u003eHow to Read Numbers\u003c\/em\u003e introduces you to the common mistakes that journalists make and the tricks they sometimes deploy. This vital guide will help you understand when and how to trust the numbers in the news — and, just as importantly, when not to.\u003c\/p\u003e\n\u003c\/div\u003e","brand":"Hachette Aotearoa New Zealand","offers":[{"title":"Default Title","offer_id":46833164222700,"sku":"9781474619974","price":27.99,"currency_code":"NZD","in_stock":false}],"thumbnail_url":"\/\/cdn.shopify.com\/s\/files\/1\/0705\/7784\/8556\/files\/251473482713.jpg?v=1758443065"},{"product_id":"everything-is-predictable-by-tom-chivers-9781399604031","title":"Everything Is Predictable","description":"\u003cdiv class=\"book-description\"\u003e\n\u003cp\u003e\u003cstrong\u003eSHORTLISTED FOR THE ROYAL SOCIETY TRIVEDI SCIENCE BOOK PRIZE 2024\u003c\/strong\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e\n\n\u003cp\u003e\u003cem\u003e‘Fascinating, witty and perspective-shifting’\u003c\/em\u003e \u003cstrong\u003eOliver Burkeman\u003c\/strong\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e\n\n\u003cp\u003e\u003cem\u003e‘A remarkable book about a remarkable theorem’\u003c\/em\u003e \u003cstrong\u003eWill Storr\u003c\/strong\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e\n\n\u003cp\u003e\u003cem\u003e‘Witty, lively and best of all, extremely nerdy. I learned a lot and so will you’\u003c\/em\u003e \u003cstrong\u003eTim Harford\u003c\/strong\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e\n\n\u003cp\u003eThomas Bayes was an eighteenth-century Presbyterian minister and amateur mathematician whose obscure life belied the profound impact of his work. Like most research into probability at the time, his theorem was mainly seen as relevant to games of chance, like dice and cards. But its implications soon became clear.\u003c\/p\u003e\n\n\u003cp\u003eBayes' theorem helps explain why highly accurate screening tests can lead to false positives, causing unnecessary anxiety for patients. A failure to account for it in court has put innocent people in jail. But its influence goes far beyond practical applications. A cornerstone of rational thought, Bayesian principles are used in modelling and forecasting. 'Superforecasters', a group of expert predictors who outperform CIA analysts, use a Bayesian approach. Many argue that Bayes' theorem is not just a useful tool, but a description of almost everything - that it is the underlying architecture of rationality, and of the human brain.\u003c\/p\u003e\n\n\u003cp\u003eFusing biography, razor-sharp science communication, and intellectual history, \u003cem\u003eEverything Is Predictable\u003c\/em\u003e is a captivating tour of Bayes' theorem and its impact on modern life. From medical testing to artificial intelligence, Tom Chivers shows how a single compelling idea can have far-reaching consequences.\u003c\/p\u003e\n\u003c\/div\u003e","brand":"Hachette Aotearoa New Zealand","offers":[{"title":"Default Title","offer_id":46843475689708,"sku":"9781399604031","price":65.0,"currency_code":"NZD","in_stock":false}],"thumbnail_url":"\/\/cdn.shopify.com\/s\/files\/1\/0705\/7784\/8556\/files\/8408373482686.jpg?v=1758801349"}],"url":"https:\/\/bookhero.live\/collections\/tom-chivers.oembed","provider":"Book Hero","version":"1.0","type":"link"}