{"title":"Paul Swartz","description":"\u003cp\u003eDiscover the insightful works of Paul Swartz, an esteemed author specialising in the fields of business and entrepreneurship. With a keen eye for market dynamics and an understanding of economic fluctuations, Swartz offers invaluable perspectives through his writing.\u003c\/p\u003e\n\n\u003cp\u003eIn titles like \u003cem\u003eShocks, Crises, and False Alarms\u003c\/em\u003e, Swartz delves into the intricacies of the business world, examining how unexpected events can impact economies and entrepreneurs. His books serve as an essential guide for anyone looking to grasp the complexity of financial systems and the resilience required to navigate them.\u003c\/p\u003e\n\n\u003cp\u003eSwartz's work stands out for its clarity and depth, making complicated topics accessible and engaging to readers from all backgrounds. Whether you're a budding entrepreneur or an experienced professional, Paul Swartz's collection provides the knowledge and inspiration to handle business challenges with confidence. Embrace the opportunity to learn from his expertise and prepare yourself for the dynamic world of business.\u003c\/p\u003e","products":[{"product_id":"shocks-crises-and-false-alarms-by-philipp-carlsson-szlezak-9781647825409","title":"Shocks, Crises, and False Alarms","description":"\u003cdiv class=\"book-description\"\u003e\n\u003cp\u003eAn essential new guide to navigating macroeconomic risk.\u003c\/p\u003e\n\n\u003cp\u003eThe shocks and crises of recent years—pandemic, recession, inflation, war—have forced executives and investors to recognise that the macroeconomy is now a risk to be actively managed. Yet unreliable forecasting, pervasive doomsaying, and whipsawing data severely hamper the task of decoding the landscape. Are disruptions transient and ephemeral, or permanent and structural? False alarms are costly traps, but so are true structural changes that go undetected.\u003c\/p\u003e\n\n\u003cp\u003eHow can leaders avoid these macro traps to make better tactical and strategic decisions?\u003c\/p\u003e\n\n\u003cp\u003eIn this perspective-shifting book, BCG Chief Economist Philipp Carlsson-Szlezak and Senior Economist Paul Swartz provide a fresh and accessible way to assess macroeconomic risk. Casting doubt on conventional model-based thinking, they demonstrate a more powerful approach to building sound macroeconomic judgment. Using incisive analysis built upon frameworks, historical context, and structural narratives—what they call 'economic eclecticism'—the book empowers readers with the durable skills to assess continuously evolving risks in the real economy, the financial system, and the geopolitical arena.\u003c\/p\u003e\n\n\u003cp\u003eMoreover, the authors' more nuanced approach reveals that the all-too-common narratives of economic collapse and decline are often false alarms themselves, while the fundamental strengths of our current 'era of tightness' become visible.\u003c\/p\u003e\n\n\u003cp\u003eWith rational optimism rather than gloom, \u003ci\u003eShocks, Crises, and False Alarms\u003c\/i\u003e speaks to the key financial and macroeconomic controversies that define our times and provides a compass for navigating the global economy. Rather than relying on blinking dashboards or flashy headlines, leaders can and should judge macroeconomic risks for themselves.\u003c\/p\u003e\n\u003c\/div\u003e","brand":"Hachette Aotearoa New Zealand","offers":[{"title":"Default Title","offer_id":46722623045868,"sku":"9781647825409","price":69.99,"currency_code":"NZD","in_stock":true}],"thumbnail_url":"\/\/cdn.shopify.com\/s\/files\/1\/0705\/7784\/8556\/files\/19072633482774.jpg?v=1754662278"}],"url":"https:\/\/bookhero.live\/collections\/paul-swartz.oembed","provider":"Book Hero","version":"1.0","type":"link"}