{"title":"Ali Alfoneh","description":"\u003cp\u003eAli Alfoneh is a distinguished author and analyst, known for his in-depth exploration of Iranian politics and current affairs. His works are essential for anyone keen on understanding the intricate dynamics of political succession within the Islamic Republic of Iran.\u003c\/p\u003e\n\n\u003cp\u003eAlfoneh's insightful book, \u003cem\u003ePolitical Succession in the Islamic Republic of Iran\u003c\/em\u003e, is a must-read for enthusiasts of political science and international relations. It delves into the complexities and nuances of leadership transitions in one of the world's most pivotal regions.\u003c\/p\u003e\n\n\u003cp\u003eAs an expert in his field, Ali Alfoneh provides readers with a comprehensive analysis, combining both historical context and present-day observations. His writings offer a clearer perspective on the political landscape of Iran, making his contributions invaluable to students, academics, and anyone with a keen interest in political shifts.\u003c\/p\u003e\n\n\u003cp\u003eExplore Ali Alfoneh’s collection to gain a deeper understanding of Iran's political framework and its implications on global affairs.\u003c\/p\u003e","products":[{"product_id":"political-succession-in-the-islamic-republic-of-iran-by-ali-alfoneh-9781098312152","title":"Political Succession in the Islamic Republic of Iran","description":"\u003cdiv class=\"book-description\"\u003e\n\u003cp\u003eWhat will happen after Iranian Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei's passing? How is the factional struggle for power in Iran over the succession of Khamenei, between technocratic elites within the regime led by President Hassan Rouhani on one side and the Islamic Revolutionary Guard and its allies on the other, likely to impact the trajectory of the Islamic Republic and the future of U.S.-Iranian relations? \u003cem\u003ePolitical Succession in the Islamic Republic of Iran\u003c\/em\u003e answers these questions.\u003c\/p\u003e\n\n\u003cp\u003eFollowing the introductory Chapter 1, Chapter 2 discusses how Grand Ayatollah Ruhollah Khomeini usurped power in Iran following the revolution of 1979 and became the leader of the revolution. Chapter 3 provides a comprehensive account of the struggle over succession during Khomeini's lifetime and how Khomeini's illness and secret relations with the United States paved Ayatollah Ali Khamenei's path to leadership. Chapter 4 offers a comprehensive analysis of the factional struggle underway over Khamenei's succession, and how external pressure from Washington under President Donald J. Trump and its allies may complete the transformation of the Islamic Republic into a military dictatorship dominated by the IRGC, although one led by a symbolic clerical figurehead. Chapter 5 discusses the impact of the militarization of the Islamic Republic on the trajectory of U.S.-Iranian relations.\u003c\/p\u003e\n\n\u003cp\u003eConsidering the succession following Khamenei, the book concludes:\u003c\/p\u003e\n\n\u003cul\u003e\n  \u003cli\u003eIn line with earlier instances, the rules and procedures for political succession enshrined in the Constitution of the Islamic Republic will be ignored and retroactively adjusted to legitimise the individual or group prevailing in the factional struggle over succession.\u003c\/li\u003e\n  \u003cli\u003eRelations with the United States, which deteriorated in the wake of the U.S. withdrawal from the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (or Iran nuclear deal), unilateral U.S. sanctions against the Islamic Republic, and incidents in the Gulf of Oman and the Persian Gulf since May 2019, will be a theme in the factional succession struggle. This is because of the (perhaps false) perception that those who take the lead in formulating Iran's policy toward the United States, particularly those in a position to secure the regime's survival or obtain sanctions relief from the United States, will also play a role in determining Khamenei's successor.\u003c\/li\u003e\n  \u003cli\u003eAs opposed to the 1989 succession, during which the IRGC played a minor role in the factional struggle, the IRGC will use its economic, political, and military power to mobilise public support, marginalise opponents among Iran's civilian technocratic elites, and emerge as kingmaker by identifying and supporting Khamenei's successor.\u003c\/li\u003e\n  \u003cli\u003eAccordingly, the future \"leader of the Islamic revolution,\" or \"supreme leader,\" whoever he may be, will, for all practical purposes, be beholden to the IRGC, which also will decide the fundamental tenet in U.S.-Iranian relations.\u003c\/li\u003e\n  \u003cli\u003eBased on this scenario, U.S. policymakers involved in shaping policies toward Tehran must take into consideration the implications of succession rivalries in the Islamic Republic. U.S. policymakers must also strategically plan how to face the challenges of a future transformation of the Islamic Republic into a military dictatorship, albeit one with a clerical figurehead.\u003c\/li\u003e\n\u003c\/ul\u003e\n\u003c\/div\u003e","brand":"Hachette Aotearoa New Zealand","offers":[{"title":"Default Title","offer_id":46849852866796,"sku":"9781098312152","price":74.99,"currency_code":"NZD","in_stock":true}],"thumbnail_url":"\/\/cdn.shopify.com\/s\/files\/1\/0705\/7784\/8556\/files\/669113482579.jpg?v=1759060796"}],"url":"https:\/\/bookhero.live\/collections\/ali-alfoneh.oembed","provider":"Book Hero","version":"1.0","type":"link"}